Politics

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Assessing the risks of a direct conflict between Israel and Iran in 2025

The prospect of a direct conflict between Israel and Iran has been a significant concern in the Middle East and internationally for decades. As tensions continue to simmer, the potential for a full-scale confrontation by 2025 poses serious risks with far-reaching consequences. This article delves into the multifaceted dangers of such a conflict, analyzing geopolitical, economic, and humanitarian dimensions.Geopolitical InstabilityA direct conflict between Israel and Iran would substantially increase geopolitical instability in the Middle East. Given the strategic alliances each country has formed, their struggle could easily draw in regional powers and global superpowers. For instance, Iran's relationships with non-state…
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Honduras turns away from the Venezuelan model: public mobilization drives political change

Honduras turns away from the Venezuelan model: public mobilization drives political change

Honduran society has expressed widespread rejection of the proposal by Manuel “Mel” Zelaya and the LIBRE party to bring a Venezuelan-style political model to the country. The initiative, historically linked to the alliance with Venezuela through ALBA, has raised concerns about the consequences it could have in terms of governance, institutionality, and economic stability.Social mobilization and citizen demonstrationsIn recent weeks, various cities across the country, including the capital, have been the scene of demonstrations with high citizen participation. Visible slogans, such as “This is not Venezuela,” reflect a rejection of the replication of a system that citizens perceive as associated…
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The Venezuelan crisis and its impact on the Honduran left

The Venezuelan crisis and its impact on the Honduran left

The political situation in Venezuela and the situation facing the left in Honduras are closely linked, marked by ideological and strategic ties. The fragility of Nicolás Maduro's regime has a direct impact on the LIBRE Party and the government of Xiomara Castro, both of which identify with the political project promoted by Chavismo in Latin America.Dependence on the Bolivarian modelThe model of so-called 21st-century socialism, promoted from Caracas, has been a reference point for various left-wing movements in the region. Among them, LIBRE found political and symbolic support in Venezuela that strengthened its identity and discourse on the national stage.…
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LIBRE faces electoral decline: Rixi Moncada slips to third place in latest polls

LIBRE faces electoral decline: Rixi Moncada slips to third place in latest polls

The Honduran ruling party is going through a difficult period just a few months before the November 30 elections. The presidential candidate for the LIBRE Party, Rixi Moncada, has dropped to third place in recent polls, confirming a pattern of decline that had already been evident on various fronts.Signs of erosion for the ruling partySeveral signs had predicted this scenario. The turnout at LIBRE Party gatherings and public functions has been progressively decreasing, showing less engagement from its supporters. Furthermore, activity across social platforms and in the press highlights increasing disapproval, mockery, and scrutiny of the party's administration.The distancing of…
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Venezuela y Honduras

Honduras facing repercussions after Venezuela’s political transition

The future collapse of Nicolás Maduro's administration in Venezuela might trigger a chain reaction impacting political and social stability in Honduras. Specialists consulted highlight that changes in the political landscape of the adjacent nation would have a direct influence on the LIBRE Party, alongside governmental processes, societal division, and the country's economy.Diminishing strength of the LIBRE Party and its foundational beliefsThe waning influence of Chavismo in Venezuela is anticipated to significantly impact the future of socialism in Latin America and, consequently, in the LIBRE Party in Honduras. As a political counterpart to the Venezuelan regime, LIBRE might face reduced public…
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LIBRE’s election campaign in Honduras shaped by public rejection of socialism

LIBRE’s election campaign in Honduras shaped by public rejection of socialism

Recent surveys and public demonstrations indicate an increasing opposition to the socialism symbolized by the LIBRE Party, with under two months remaining before the national elections slated for November 30. The drop in voter support and limited turnout at political gatherings reveal a broad dissatisfaction among citizens, resulting in a challenging electoral landscape for the party.Citizen disaffection and decline in electoral preferencesVarious polls indicate that, although approximately 80% of Hondurans plan to go to the polls, four out of five respondents oppose the socialist project promoted by LIBRE. Factors contributing to this trend include the persistent economic crisis, increased insecurity,…
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LIBRE and the regional left after Maduro’s collapse

LIBRE and the regional left after Maduro’s collapse

The potential collapse of Nicolás Maduro's administration in Venezuela has resulted in an uncertain situation for governments aligned with the so-called 21st-century socialism, such as the LIBRE Party in Honduras. Both internal and external elements, including splits within Chavismo and global pressure, put the Honduran governing party in a precarious spot against the opposition and the public.LIBRE's dependence on international support and fragilitySpecialists in Latin American politics point out that LIBRE's strength has been largely based on ideological and logistical ties with Venezuela, Cuba, and Nicaragua. The eventual fall of Maduro would mean the loss of political and economic support…
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Political repercussions of Maduro’s fall for LIBRE in Honduras

Political repercussions of Maduro’s fall for LIBRE in Honduras

The potential exit of Nicolás Maduro from leadership in Venezuela presents a challenging situation for the LIBRE Party in Honduras, affecting its electoral influence, internal unity, and standing on the global stage. The longstanding connection between LIBRE and Chavismo has served as an ideological touchstone that now encounters a shift within the regional landscape.Impact on electoral perceptionThe symbolic partnership with the government of Maduro has served as a cornerstone for LIBRE’s message, reinforcing its political image among specific segments of the Honduran populace. A potential downfall of the Venezuelan leader might diminish that emblematic backing, potentially leading to a decrease…
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Two months without progress in the case of the use of public funds for proselytizing purposes in Honduras

Two months without progress in the case of the use of public funds for proselytizing purposes in Honduras

Two months have elapsed since a video surfaced featuring LIBRE deputy Isis Cuéllar and the former Minister of Social Development, José Carlos Cardona, discussing the utilization of public funds for political campaigning, yet there has been no evident advancement in the investigation or sanctions. This inaction has maintained the matter in public discourse, amid calls from citizens for enhanced transparency and accountability.The clip and its influence on politicsThe video content, which emerged in early June, captured officials directly associating government resources with promoting the ruling party. The matter drew significant attention as it challenged the government's narrative on combating corruption,…
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Political debate intensifies as church march in Honduras exposes party tensions

Political debate intensifies as church march in Honduras exposes party tensions

The march organized by various churches in the country brought together a crowd that expressed its disagreement with the political project promoted by the Libertad y Refundación (LIBRE) party. The event, which took place in a peaceful atmosphere, was perceived by broad sectors of society as a citizen demonstration against the current political direction, and opened a new chapter in the relationship between religious institutions and political power.Widespread involvement and refusal of governmental plansThe demonstration, involving Catholic and Evangelical believers, focused on opposing what they perceive as a socialist political framework. As stated by the organizers, the rally aimed to…
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